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Labor productivity growth in the service sector may be mismeasured
if workers with heterogeneous skills self-select into sectors. I
document with U.S. data that workers reallocated from manufacturing
earn more than incumbent workers in professional services
but less than incumbent workers in education, health, and public
services. A generalized quantitative Roy model predicts a selection
effect on labor productivity growth in professional services that
is 10 percentage points higher than what a conventional selection
model predicts. Overall, the selection effect contributes little to the
cost disease of services, which contrasts sharply with the hypothesis
in the literature.